Experts warn that the Canadian dollar will remain weak over the coming months, with oil prices going down and revenues falling. Canada is one of the world’s largest oil producers, and lower oil prices certainly pressure the currency down. Another reason why the dollar is sinking further is the business unfriendly policies adopted by the liberal government. Truly, the government is committed to investing in waste water treatment, building bridges, repairing roads, and infrastructural improvements that will benefit engineering companies and the construction industry as a whole. At the same time, the government’s decision to run a deficit means a weak dollar, and experts warn that more debt also means larger interest payments and a weaker currency.
Making Money Trading USD/CAD
How to make money from Forex trading is a question that many investors ask post election and given the weakened external demand. The first thing to do is to learn more about Forex rates, current stock market trends, and how perceptions of government policies affect rates. If investors see the liberal party as spend-progressive, then they will be confident that the market is doing well. But this is just part of the puzzle. When it comes to currency trading, many believe that the loonie has further to weaken and fall due to falling gold prices and revenues of giants such as Kinross, Goldcorp, and Barrick. The economy of China, one of Canada’s trading partners, is also slowing down. As a commodity currency, the loonie has been affected by a combination of factors, among which risk sentiment, commodity prices going down, and China’s economy.
Investing in Assets and Currency Hedge Funds
Some Forex experts recommend buying into USD/CAD as long as most investors continue to sell. At the same time, a falling Canadian dollar, combined with low oil prices means that US assets increase in value if priced in CAD. The opposite is also true – US assets are worth less when the loonie is rising. Investors who are worried about the fact that the Canadian dollar will increase in value may want to look into currency hedge funds like iShares S&P 500 Index ETF CAD-Hedged. Others choose not to hedge and limit their US exposure to no more than 10 percent. Still others choose to invest in healthcare, technology, and consumer-oriented companies in the US and hedge their currency exposure. The goal is to reduce potential risk when investing abroad. Currency hedge funds promise significant payoffs and to this end, they follow market trends through computer algorithms. In some cases, currency hedge funds take bearish or bullish positions and report gains at a time when companies trading emerging-market assets report losses. In any case, the ultimate goal is to realize consistent returns. To this, currency hedge funds that focus on CAD to USD usually use advanced strategies and algorithms to follow the movements of currencies with significant trading volumes.
USD/CAD Trading and Other Instruments to Make Profits
Crude oil is an important factor that affects the Canadian dollar. The reason is that oil prices are denominated in USD. The fact is that there is a strong USD – CAD negative correlation and the same goes about the price of oil. This means that when oil prices go down, USD/CAD goes down and USD weakens. The opposite is also true – USD/CAD rises when oil prices go down and USD strengthens. If you think that oil is going to rally more than USD/CAD will go down, then you may want to purchase both. By the same logic, sell both if you think that USD/CAD is going to decline compared to oil. Another idea is to invest in options on the futures and spot markets. This is a low-risk type of investment.
When there is no clear up or down trend, one option is to rely on hit and run trading in the hope of making small profits. In this case, you may want to pay close attention to trends and look for a small pull back and a bullish trend. When you spot a reversal pattern, then it is time to buy. Such strategies could be useful when the situation on the Forex market is unclear. When there is uncertainty about the direction in which the market will go, some experts recommend using Nadex spreads and the Iron Condor strategy to trade options. Nadex spreads can be used in a flat or downwards market while an upwards market requires credit spreads. Note that when you use Nadex spreads, there are time limits as well as a ceiling or floor level. Investors who use the Iron Condor technique buy the lower spread and sell the upper in the hope of making significant profits.